Thursday, 31 May 2012

Value Punts - French Open Thursday

J Chardy @ 5.5 to beat J Tipsarevic or +7 games @ 1.85 and over 34 games @ 1.85 - Chardy to win at least one set @ 1.61.... Chardy has done well here before, if his 1st serve % can be over 65-70% he will win plenty of points. H2H its 3-1 to Tipsarevic but the only time they met on clay Chardy won it 4 &4 in Rome. Huge punt, so only low stakes

Dimitrov v Gasquet over 34 games @ 1.85 , Dimtrov to win at least one set @ 1.67 - Gasquet a huge favourite, but Dimitrov will like being underdog and I think if he gets a good start could make Gasquet work for the win

A Pavyluchenkova @ 1.55 to beat M Czink - Hopeful the Russian can play herself into the tournament. She is easily a better player than Czink, and i think this price is good value

N Bratchikova @ 2.50 to beat C Fleurstein - Interesting match against two unknowns. Bratchikova does like being an underdog and has some good results this year. The French girl has the home support and is probably why she is favourite. Huge match for both girls so expect a lot of breaks of serves and nerves

Pironkova @ 5.25 to beat F Schiavone @ 2.34 to win a set against Sciavone and @ 1.85 +5.5 games - This is a pure punt. The Bulgarian has done nothing on clay all year, yet loves a big occassion. We know how she likes Wimbledon... If this match was a few weeks ago i would have gone for Pironkova, but as Schaivone found form last week and also loves it in Paris, she should win, but who knows

U Radwanska @ 1.85 +6.5 games v Kvitova - This match will either go very quickly to Kvitova or else Radwanska will be on top form and really give Kvitty a fight.. There have been signs the Pole is starting to show some junior form and she has nothing to lose against Petra.....

Karatchanteva @ 1.90 +5.5 games v Suarez-Navarro - two girls that have done really well here in the past. Suarez is by far the more consistent and should take this easily. However 2005 QF Sesil will fight and if she gets on top she will get confident. Sesil a lucky loser will think she has 9 lives and may well need them all today.

Begu @ 5.5 games @ 1.80 versus Kanepi - Begu is more than capable on clay and she will give it all she has. Kanepi is on form again but can have off days, especially if her injuries plague her. I think Begu can keep it close in at least set and think this offers value

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