ATP Challenger Kosice: S Greul v V Crivoi

Both players have had a good week in Kosice and deserve their places in the final. Greul is ranked a lowly 140 in the world at the moment and has been plying his trade on the challenger circuit, where Crivoi has spent most of his career. Greul won their meeting in Freuth on the clay in three sets, where he had some home support. Crivoi though did win a set 6-1 in that match and also won the only other time they played on clay at Roland Garros in 2009 in straight sets. Greul has won a hard court match between the two. I think the German will be more tired than the Romanian and this could ultimately count in Crivoi's favour. At odds of over 2.50 by most bookies I think there is value in a Romanian win, as Greul is a heavy favourite for not much reason, but is no doubt able to win the match with his experience. Value lies with Crivoi